UNDP-BTN-00153 - International COnsulting firm for Development of a Multi-Hazard - UNDP - BHUTAN

Tender summary

Introduction UNDP Bhutan is seeking proposals from the qualified and experienced International Consulting firm for the Development of a Multi-Hazard Impact-Based Forecasting (MHIBF) System for Bhutan. Please find below the objectives and scope of the assignment. However, you are encouraged to review the Terms of Reference while preparing your submissions. Objectives The primary objective of this assignment is to design, develop, pilot and verify the forecasts towards operationalizing a MHIBF system for Bhutan. The specific objectives are as follows: o To develop a national MHIBF framework aligned with international standards and best practices, incorporating the hazard–exposure–vulnerability–impact (HEVI) approach. o To integrate multi-hazard forecasting capabilities by combining meteorological and hydrological hazards—including rainfall, flooding, windstorms, and temperature extremes—into a unified impact-based analytical system. o To establish standardized impact thresholds and risk matrices that translate hazard intensities into sector-specific impact levels, enabling consistent and actionable risk interpretation across key sectors. o To develop sector-specific impact models and advisory mechanisms for priority sectors such as disaster risk management, transport and infrastructure, agriculture, health, and education, ensuring relevance for decision-making. o To design, develop, and operationalize a web-based decision support platform, including data integration, impact computation, visualization dashboards, and advisory generation tools, forecast verification, while strengthening institutional workflows, Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs), and technical capacity of national stakeholders for sustained system operation. Scope of Work The Firm/Expert Team shall undertake the end-to-end design, development, testing, and operationalization of a MHIBF system for Bhutan. The scope includes analytical framework development, multi-hazard modeling, digital platform development, institutional integration, and capacity building. 3.1 Inception and Diagnostic Assessment The Firm/Expert Team shall conduct a comprehensive inception and diagnostic assessment to establish the technical and institutional baseline for the MHIBF system. This shall include: - Review of existing forecasting systems, tools, methodologies, and operational workflows within National Centre for Hydrology and Meteorology - Assessment of data availability, quality, accessibility, and interoperability, including hydro-meteorological, geospatial, and sectoral datasets - Stakeholder consultations or workshop with key agencies, including DLDGM and sectoral stakeholders on operationalizing MHIBF for Bhutan - Identification of institutional, technical, and data gaps, including constraints in translating hazard forecasts into impact-based outputs 3.2 Development of MHIBF Analytical Framework The Firm/Expert Team shall develop a robust analytical framework based on the Hazard–Exposure–Vulnerability–Impact (HEVI) approach. This shall include: o Definition of hazard thresholds for: Rainfall intensity (e.g., return periods, thresholds) - Flood levels (river discharge, inundation levels) - Wind speeds - Temperature extremes for both hot and cold o Development of: - Standardized exposure datasets (population, infrastructure, agriculture, critical facilities) - Proxy-based vulnerability indices tailored to Bhutan’s socio-economic and geographic context - Multi-level impact classification system (e.g., minor, moderate, severe, extreme) o Development of impact matrices linking hazard intensity with expected sectoral consequences 3.3 3.3 Multi-Hazard and Sectoral Impact Modeling The Firm/Expert Team shall design and operationalize multi-hazard impact models integrating hazard, exposure, and vulnerability layers. This shall include: o Integration of multiple hazard layers into unified forecasting workflows o Development of sector-specific impact models for: - Disaster Risk Management -

What to check before bidding

• Issued by United Nations Development Programme.
• Located in Bhutan.
• Source notice https://procurement-notices.undp.org/view_negotiation.cfm?nego_id=45850 on UNDP.
• Notice published 25 May 2026; Tenqual indexed it 26 May 2026.
• Deadline listed as 8 Jun 2026.
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